Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 949.961309 1086.331699 1242.725432 1437.009324 1674.215194 1957.470011 2.325996e+03
2024-10-20 737.800112 904.120923 1114.112934 1404.720280 1806.497520 2358.497073 3.204942e+03
2024-10-27 617.948368 788.045836 1015.314695 1351.411776 1854.876309 2616.010211 3.932102e+03
2024-11-03 565.775092 747.299348 1002.434854 1403.572418 2052.403671 3131.843125 5.252242e+03
2024-11-10 520.579239 707.335300 980.906220 1433.710375 2216.530807 3636.706826 6.789785e+03
2024-11-17 482.246696 671.078901 957.624830 1453.672003 2364.145167 4155.112728 8.643434e+03
2024-11-24 442.119413 626.798138 914.934615 1432.028626 2429.052036 4530.192621 1.040143e+04
2024-12-01 417.709411 603.717454 902.471338 1459.549624 2592.829287 5173.726736 1.338269e+04
2024-12-08 400.443342 589.811896 902.824417 1509.462990 2813.874881 6042.027686 1.794798e+04
2024-12-15 380.160465 568.746573 888.005318 1527.300477 2969.545181 6815.525932 2.316756e+04
2024-12-22 357.215131 541.042553 858.210220 1510.257480 3040.474042 7387.747252 2.840203e+04
2024-12-29 344.172181 528.958985 855.090556 1547.269535 3252.767729 8505.564108 3.876892e+04
2025-01-05 320.069700 496.755978 813.392960 1500.199659 3250.808385 8964.426922 4.665331e+04
2025-01-12 299.851442 470.041028 779.843641 1467.116313 3282.430408 9590.039114 5.822947e+04
2025-01-19 279.141845 440.830679 738.614066 1410.510653 3234.155323 9889.236985 6.836623e+04
2025-01-26 272.465312 436.451971 745.350538 1465.784015 3529.951133 11863.028756 1.102824e+05
2025-02-02 263.866180 427.777365 742.496345 1497.728745 3767.342936 13822.333558 1.760359e+05
2025-02-09 254.915135 417.716562 735.722717 1518.895902 3979.151333 15905.196935 2.886931e+05
2025-02-16 242.810773 400.795067 713.042010 1495.945913 4033.233784 17166.024180 4.195211e+05
2025-02-23 236.019953 393.618225 710.339989 1525.129512 4288.516796 20082.678416 8.379953e+05
2025-03-02 231.487745 390.487120 716.015243 1578.086373 4659.155671 24517.361514 2.405186e+06
2025-03-09 224.664547 382.327871 709.807855 1597.020188 4904.168330 28493.197128 7.872403e+06
2025-03-16 215.720034 369.349286 691.662709 1578.929598 4986.925117 31192.430461 2.718289e+07